The crypto market’s still just hanging ’round, consolidating – nothing wild happening.
But as we’ve already mentioned before, things could change on September 17, when the Fed’s gonna decide whether they’re going to cut interest rates.
And right now, it’s looking pretty likely they will.
Reason: the job market keeps getting weaker.
👉 Hiring slowed → only 54K private sector jobs were added last month (way below what economists expected);
👉 Layoffs spiked → August layoffs increased almost 40% compared to last year – the worst August we’ve seen since 2020;
👉 More people are filing for unemployment → weekly jobless claims hit 237K (higher than expected).
(Tomorrow’s jobs report will give us an even clearer picture of how rough things are getting.)
Now, if the Fed does cut rates, here’s the domino effect: short-term interest rates drop, which makes the dollar less attractive to investors (’cause like, why hold dollars if they’re not paying you much?).
So the dollar gets weaker.
At the same time, according to QCP Capital, investors want extra pay for holding long-term bonds because they’re worried about future risks like inflation and government debt.
This combo – short-term rates down + long-term rates relatively high – tells markets: the Fed’s easing, but the future still looks risky.
And it’s actually good news for crypto:
👉 Weaker dollar = stronger alternatives.
When the dollar loses its shine, assets like Bitcoin and gold become more attractive in global investment portfolios.
👉 Inflation fears demand for “hedge” assets.
If inflation expectations rise, people want assets that hold their value when money starts losing its purchasing power.
Bitcoin increasingly fits that bill.
👉 Policy uncertainty = “outside the system” becomes appealing.
When people don’t fully trust the government’s ability to manage the economy, Bitcoin’s whole “decentralized, no government control” thing starts looking pretty sexy.
Overall, the likely setup is rate cuts + weaker dollar + inflation worries.
That’s basically the perfect storm for assets like gold and Bitcoin – things people buy when they want protection from a wobbly economy and don’t completely trust traditional currencies.
And the institutions are already picking up on this, btw – Bitcoin ETFs had $633.3M in inflows just this week.
So, if you’re wondering why crypto bros are getting excited about the next Fed meeting, this is why.
